What’s a PLON and\or PLAG

Updated on August 26, 2015 in MLB Betting Trends
2 on August 23, 2015

Do you search for that magical play to bet or do you hunt for plays to bet against the grain. There are 2 sides to every query and the need to know when to jump on the wagon or fall off the wagon is a complex subject in itself. I spend hours at times looking for the play that is a decent +% winner in the past and then weigh the possibilities it will happen again; thus a PLON  {Play on}. I also tend to dig back and see if after creating a query there is value in playing against the query; thus a PLAG {Play against}.

Here’s an example of a 2015  PLAG… Play against a National League Away team coming off 2 consecutive losses where the current line is >= -105 and <=+185 and their opposition is a team coming off 2 consecutive Home wins…
SU: 35-60 (-0.67, 36.8%) on/against:-$1,522/+$1,149 ROI:-16.0% /+8.3%
season > 2014 and conference = NL and A and (-105 <= line <= 185) and p:AL and pp:AL and op:HW and opp:HW

Query link

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0 on August 23, 2015

The AL is just about the same
SU: 33-55 (-1.33, 37.5%) on/against:-$1,398 / +$1,064 ROI:-15.8%/+8.8%
season > 2014 and conference = AL and A and (-105 <= line <= 185) and p:AL and pp:AL and op:HW and opp:HW

Overall 68-115 = $ 2,213.

Here’s a link to both together
http://www.sportsdatabase.com/mlb/query?output=default&su=1&invested=1&sdql=season+%3E2014+and+conference+and+A+and+%28-105+%3C%3D+line+%3C%3D+185%29+and+p%3AAL+and+pp%3AAL+and+op%3AHW+and+opp%3AHW&submit=++S+D+Q+L+!++

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0 on August 26, 2015

Variance in my opinion. What has changed recently that makes this trend work now and not before the current season?

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