Late season better home dogs

Updated on August 17, 2015 in MLB Betting Trends
6 on August 5, 2015

What do you think?

HD and wins – o:wins >= 0,1,2,3,4,5 and month >=8

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0 on August 6, 2015

HD and wins – o:wins >= 2 and month >= 8 and p:runs < 6 and streak >-2
I refined it with my logic that a late Home Dog not coming in a very very bad streak and not scoring on a high note is due to bounce back.
Overvalued Away Favorite in my point of view.

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0 on August 6, 2015

I think that win differential would only make sense if it is a divisional matchup.

This looks pretty solid to me:

HD and month>=8 and wins-o:wins>1 and division=o:division

A home dog trying to hold a division lead of 2 or more wins late season.

78-59 (56.9%) +31.91 units , +23.3% roi

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0 on August 6, 2015
H and tS(margin>0) - oS(margin>0) >= 1 and game number >= 130 and line >= -115
http://killersports.com/mlb/query?su=1&sdql=H+and+tS%28margin%3E0%29+-+oS%28margin%3E0%29+%3E%3D+1+and+game+number+%3E%3D+130+and+line+%3E%3D+-115&submit=++S+D+Q+L+!++

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0 on August 7, 2015

Interesting that one doesn’t hold up well late in playoff series. Check ‘series game’

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0 on August 7, 2015

The ideal back-fit of the initial criteria improves the profits by 77% and the yield by 37%.  Feel free to piddle over that 1 unit of profit that would be lost in the playoffs.

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0 on August 17, 2015

I agree with pcg, this only seems like it would make sense if you were talking about division games. Why does it matter how many wins apart two teams are in that tight of a margin in any other case?

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