I’m Thinking Seahawks -9.5

Updated on October 6, 2015 in NFL Betting Trends
3 on October 4, 2015

This spread might be big, but here are a couple things:

1. Since 1991, Detroit is 3-21-0 (-10.67 ppg) SU on the road (5-19 ATS). People may think the Lions have improved, but they still haven’t gotten much better on the road.
team = Lions and A and o:division = NFC West and season>1990

2. The Seahawks are a perfect 5-0 SU +18.8 ppg since 2006 as home favs on MNF. 3 of those 5 games had spreads of -9.5 or more. team = Seahawks and HF and MNF and season>=2006

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0 on October 5, 2015

I entirely agree on this one. I’ll share a few thoughts of my own when I’m home later. Made a lot of notes on this one…

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0 on October 5, 2015

To play devil’s advocate….

Winless away dogs on Monday Night, week 4.

tA(W)=0 and AD and week=4 and day and snf

Teams that lost first two home games then won their next game, now home favorite in week 4, won yesterday versus Colts.

ppp:L and pp:L and p:W and HF and day  and week=4

add “not DIV” brings it to 0-6

Good fortune on your plays.

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0 on October 6, 2015

Looks like that would have been a nice filter. Seahawks had it covered for most of the game up until the 27 yard fumble return for the Lions at the end for the ole backdoor. Fwiw

I like the streak snap thing you showed there. I have similar things that hold up in all weeks such as:

p:W and pp:streak<-4  and F

24-12-0 66.7% ATS

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