CFL Week One is Here!

Updated on July 12, 2016 in CFL Betting Trends
11 on June 23, 2016

I’ll be sharing some CFL systems and trends this season so I just wanted to open up this exchange thread. I’ll give a system or trend and if anyone follows up with something good in return, I will share one more and so on. For now…

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0 on June 23, 2016

CFL SYSTEM #01 – 
Since 2008, Underdogs that ended their previous season below .500 have gone 191-139-8 (+2.1 ppg, 57.9%) ATS in all games of their next season.

tpS(W)-tpS(L)<0 and D

Let me know if you guys have anything good and I’ll share some more.

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9 on July 6, 2016

A1 – PLAY ON: Dog, Prev Road Loss, Trailed by less than 7 Pts at Half Time

p:AL and D and  p:M2 > -7 and season>=2010

40-21 since 2010

Admin
on July 6, 2016

Biz, can you talk about how each parameter support ONE single logical premise there? Even if you found this one by chance, I wonder if there is some logic behind it.

Seems like ‘closeness of a game’ might be a stealthy stat in CFL.

Try and confirm that by doing a query which says the team Lost but the score was tight in EVERY quarter?

Subscriber
on July 7, 2016

You’re saying this isn’t anything logical about this?

Subscriber
on July 7, 2016

There is plenty of logic behind this. 

Its all about line value. Team played well for a half and lost on the road, they are again a dog.  I ran the numbers for closeness after each quarter and there is no change in the results. 

Your comment infers that nothing makes sense. It makes a lot of sense.  I don’t want to waste a lot of my time explaining the logic to you.  Either you understand the logic or you don’t.

Subscriber
on July 7, 2016

Here is the record since 2010. Wins every year at a 65.6% win clip. 

2015

2014

2013

2012

2011

2010

Total

8-2

8-7

9-4

5-3

6-2

4-3

40-21

Admin
on July 7, 2016
I don’t want to waste a lot of my time explaining the logic to you.From Biz

Totally unwarranted. I see some logic in your system and really had no beefs with it at all; just wanted to see if what you were thinking matched up with what I was is all…let’s take some deep breaths shall we?

Subscriber
on July 9, 2016

My apologies.  It sounded like you didn’t find any relevance or logic.  Just exhaled.

Subscriber
on July 12, 2016

A few simple ones…
Week 4:
The Roughriders are 4-16-1 ATS (-2.69 ppg) since Sep 05, 2010 as a home favorite after a loss.

Others:
The Alouettes are 8-25 ATS (-5.30 ppg) since Aug 06, 2010 as a favorite after a win

The Argonauts are 2-19 ATS (-10.71 ppg) since Aug 20, 2010 at home after a game at home {Next up is July 25th}

Stampeders are 15-2-0 SU {88.2%} and 12-5 ATS {70.6%} {avg line: -7.6} as a HF off a previous FL since June 08, 2006
team = Stampeders and HF and p:FL and date >= 20060608

Subscriber
on July 12, 2016

Week 4 Under   Play Under on TOR~OTT 52.5 & EDM~WIN 54
Since Jul 28, 2007 : O\U 75-121-3 (-2.44, 38.3%) {avg total: 53.8}
Since July 5 2014 : O/U: 15-29-1 (-3.23, 34.1%) {avg total: 51.5}
total > ((p:total + op:total) / 2) + 1 H and playoffs = 0

Subscriber
on July 12, 2016

Week 4 ATS
Play against a team in regular season only {No playoffs} that won their previous M-up and also won 2 games back and their opposition is off a Loss

P:W and pp:W and op:L

ATS: 75-107-2 (-2.18, 41.2%) avg line: -4.1

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