Balancing Things Out

Updated on October 20, 2015 in General Discussion
3 on October 19, 2015

Hi everyone,

I just want to start a discussion about the balance you use in combining queries and trends. How do you come up with a general opinion on wagering a game.
Let me give an example.
My NFL queries for this season are awful so far. They are staying at 31-55 and generated a loss of -27 units.
In comparison to that NHL is 38-20 and gave me 44 Units profit. How do you vale a query, when do you stop batting on one or do yo stay loyal?

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0 on October 19, 2015

The way I would look at it first of all, is that between all of the sports you mentioned, you’re up 17 units! (44-27). I think if you have the SAME process of system development between all sports, it will all average out to profit…at least that is how it goes for me. 

Weatherwizard told me once that, for the most part, his systems are roughly created equal and he checks them against each other when many pile up FOR a bet, but you have one going against. That question: do you bet only consensus or do you also go with situations where you have many going for and 1 or 2 going against is one for the ages…

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0 on October 19, 2015

I went through the same thing when I started using SDB trends with the 2014 MLB season.
I’ve drawn two conclusions about my trends.
First – the trends I’m finding at SDB only suggest a team has value, and therefore should only be part of my handicapping method.
Second – a team only has value if there’s multiple trends predicting them.

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0 on October 20, 2015

worth tracking for teasers or ML opposing these away teams:
http://killersports.com/nfl/query?sdql=p%3AADW+and+DIV+and+A+and+season+%3E+1997+and+line%3E-6++and+date%3E20111113&submit=++S+D+Q+L+%21++

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