First of all this tool is brilliant. However I’m not sure it works intirely as intended (Or as I expected). Despite it sounds impossible, there is a slight chance, that I simple just misunderstand the tool.
Shouldn’t it be TO WIN when teams are favorites..?? (team=Cubs and season=2017 =+75 on killersports.com and return 0,48 in the tool). The 0,48 is RISK on all 3 games this season and divided into average return.
I have understood that it eliminates opposite trends from a portfolio. But i tested the tool and I think it also eliminates trends that are ‘equal’ in a portfolio. If a 2 different trends both point to Cubs, it removes both trends. I think it should Count for one but not two in the evaluation.