RE: Late season better home dogs

I think that win differential would only make sense if it is a divisional matchup.

This looks pretty solid to me:

HD and month>=8 and wins-o:wins>1 and division=o:division

A home dog trying to hold a division lead of 2 or more wins late season.

78-59 (56.9%) +31.91 units , +23.3% roi