For Week 5:
It seems there are several profitable spots:
1. Teams off of a loss in danger of falling onto .500
week = 5 and wins = 2 and losses = 1 and p:L15-7-0 68.2% ATS
2. 1-3 Teams that either got their first win or worsened their record last game.
week = 5 and wins = 1 and losses=359-46-3 56.2% ATS
Anyone have anything else?